Department of the Interior, Minerals Management Service, Procurement Operations Branch, MS2500, 381 Elden Street, Herndon, Virginia 20170-4817

B -- ANALYSIS OF COMPUTER MODEL USED IN DEVELOPMENT OF UNDISCOVERED OIL AND GAS RESOURCES. SOL 14208 DUE 082097 POC Jackie Halprin, Contracting Officer, 703-787-1341 WEB: For more information about MMS and its programs, click here, www.mms.gov. E-MAIL: Click here to contact the contracting officer, jackie.halprin@mms.gov. The Minerals Management Service (MMS) is interested in developing a more thorough understanding of the mathematical and statistical approaches used in its computer model. The operating system used by the model is Microsoft Windows version 3.1. The computer model consists of a Windows user interface program and database with a series of modules used to perform the analysis. The interface program is written using MS Visual Basic version 3.0 program language and the database structure is unique to this model. The modules used in the analysis are written for MS Fortran 5.1 compiler. The computer model (Grasp) was developed based on the Petroleum Resource Appraisal Systems Software (PRASS) computer models written by the Institute of Sedimentary and Petroleum Geology, Geological Survey of Canada and was developed based on the Petroleum Exploration and Resource Evaluation System (PETRIMES). The analysis of the undiscovered resource potential is performed on a play basis. The model is divided into two approaches, a subjective process and a discovery process method. The subjective process uses a conceptual approach to define the geological parameters that define the resource potential of a play. The subjective method is used when there is little if any geologic, geophysical, and exploratory well, or production data available to support the discovery method of analysis. The discovery process uses actual geologic data from existing pools within a play to define the parameters of the yet to be discovered pools and resource potential for the play. The subjective modules submitted for study are Derivation of Pool or Prospect Size Distribution (PPSD), Estimating Number of Pools Distribution (MPRO), and Pool Size by Rank (PSRK). The module PPSD is used to determine the potential range for values of pool sizes of a prospect or pool based on the cumulative frequency distributions of areal extent, net pay thickness, porosity, water saturation, recovery factor, and gas or oil formation volume factor. The module MPRO is used to determine the potential range of the number of pools based on a cumulative frequency distribution of the number of prospects expected to occur within a geologic play and levels of play and prospect risk. The module PSRK calculates the ranked order and the range of pool sizes for each of the pools expected to occur within a geologic play. The output results of PPSD and MPRO are used as inputs for PSRK. The objective of this study is to explain the statistical principles and the mathematical function and algorithms used by PPSD, MPRO, and PSRK to generate their outputs files and printouts. The analysis shall include all the subroutines and functions referenced by the modules. The anticipated period of performance is 3 to 4 months and the anticipated cost range of this effort is $35,000 to $40,000. Deliverables include interim reports and a final technical report. HOW TO RESPOND: In order to compete for this award, interested parties MUST demonstrate that they are qualified to perform the work by providing, byAugust 20, 1997, a Capabilities Statement (one bound original and one unbound copy) detailing: (1) your organizational experience and facilities and (2) specific references (including contract number and project description, period of performance, dollar amount, client identification with point of contact and telephone number) for previous work of this nature that your key personnel or organization have performed within the last two years. (References will be checked) Following review of all Capabilities Statements, a list of those deemed most qualified to perform the work will be established and the qualified will be notified and provided additional proposal instructions. The evaluation criteria, in the order of importance, are: Organization's Personnel and Facilities: Currency of personnel working on similar projects; balanced team with sufficient depth of experience, capability, education and training in geology, petroleum engineering, statistics, mathematics, and computer programming; demonstrate that the equipment and software are available to complete the study. Experience: Program manager's experience with similar projects; quality of experience as demonstrated with the recent statistical modeling of oil and gas resource assessment model methodology and algorithms; quality of experience as demonstrated with the recent review and explanation of the methodology and algorithms of computer models written in the FORTRAN programming language; verbal and written skills of key personnel in the preparation of oral presentations and written reports dealing with technical and statistical subject areas. Organization's Past Performance: Ability to timely complete projects, adhere to schedules and budgets, effectiveness of cost controls, and quality of products delivered. The degree of project similarity will be judged on how recent they are as well as size, duration, and complexity. The quality of cooperation between organization, staff, and key personnel and the client. Questions should be faxed or e-mailed as soon as possible to fax: (703) 787-1387 or e-mail to "jackie.halprin@smtp.mms.gov" Please include with any question(s) or correspondence your full name, the Solicitation No. (14208) and title, your organization, complete address, phone and fax numbers, and e-mail address, if applicable. Phone calls will neither be accepted nor acknowledged. Any conflict in the due dates shown in this notice shall be governed by this narrative (i.e. capabilities statements ARE due by August 20, 1997). The award will be made using Simplified Acquisition Procedures, FAR Part 13, and the solicitation will be via Standard Form 18, Request for Quotations. (0217)

Loren Data Corp. http://www.ld.com (SYN# 0014 19970807\B-0008.SOL)