SPECIAL NOTICE
R -- Study of Sea Level Rise in California, Oregon and Washington
- Notice Date
- 9/9/2009
- Notice Type
- Special Notice
- NAICS
- 541990
— All Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
- Contracting Office
- US Army Humphreys Engineer Center Support Activity, ATTN: CEHEC-CT, 7701 Telegraph Road, Alexandria, VA 22315-3860
- ZIP Code
- 22315-3860
- Solicitation Number
- W912HQ-NOI-0907
- Archive Date
- 12/8/2009
- Point of Contact
- Nancy Hilleary, 703-428-6120
- E-Mail Address
-
US Army Humphreys Engineer Center Support Activity
(Nancy.L.Hilleary@usace.army.mil)
- Small Business Set-Aside
- N/A
- Description
- The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers intends to award a sole source firm fixed price type contract to National Academy of Sciences (NAS). Global sea level is rising, driven by thermal expansion of warming seas and ice melt from glaciers, ice caps, and the Greenland and west Antarctic continental ice sheets. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimates that global seal level rose 1.7 to 1.8 mm per year over the last 100 years, and that the rise accelerated to 3 mm per year from 1993 to 2003 (IPCC, 2007). By 2100, global sea level is projected to rise between 0.18 and 0.59 meters, but this is likely to be an underestimate, given uncertainties in the dynamic response of polar ice sheets to global warming (e.g., Rahmstorf, 2007). Managing hydrologic extremes due to climate variability is an essential mission of water management agencies. The US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) must ensure that its systems and projects will remain adaptable and sustainable over time even if the frequency and severity of extreme hydrologic events may change. USACE water managers are considering ways to make water management more flexible and adaptable to changing conditions. The USACE climate change strategy is to work closely with other Federal agencies to develop consistent approaches with regard to policies related to climate change. USACE is also trying to coordinate climate change activities with state governments and others so approaches can be integrated. A study of this nature requires an independent organization experienced in formulating comprehensive engineering research projects and has the means to utilize the best scientific and technical resources of the country to work on these projects. The success of this project depends heavily on the ability of the contractor to be viewed as an objective scientific and engineering research organization representing the interests and needs of the nation and not the interests of any one agency or corporate entity. The National Academy of Sciences was established by a Congressional Charter to accomplish these kinds of efforts. b. Objectives of this Contract. An ad hoc committee of NAS will provide an evaluation of sea level rise for California, Oregon and Washington for the years 2030, 2050 and 2100. The evaluation will cover both global and local sea level. Tasks 1.Evaluate each of the major contributors to global sea level rise (e.g. ocean thermal expansion, melting of glaciers and ice sheets); combine the contributions to provide values or a range of values of global sea level rise for the years 2030, 2050 and 2100; and evaluate the uncertainties associated with these values for each timeframe 2.Characterize and, where possible, provide specific values for regional and local contributions to sea level rise (e.g., atmospheric changes influencing ocean winds, ENSO effects on ocean surface height, coastal upwelling and currents, storminess, coastal land motion caused by tectonics, sediment loading, or aquifer withdrawal) for the years 2030, 2050 and 2100. Different types of coastal settings will be examined, taking into account factors such as landform (e.g., estuaries, wetlands, beaches, lagoons, cliffs), geologic substrate (e.g., unconsolidated sediments, bedrock) and rates of geologic deformation. For inputs that can be quantified, the study will also provide related uncertainties. The study will also summarize what is known about: i.climate induced increases in storm frequency and magnitude and related changes to regional and local sea level rise estimations (e.g., more frequent and severe storm surges) ii.the efficacy of coastal habitats and coastal restoration (e.g., watershed restoration) in increasing the resilience of communities and ecosystems along the west coast. c. Deliverables. deliverables will consist of a report addressing the tasks listed above. The committee will deliver the report in prepublication form approximately 15 months from the start date. Approximately four additional months are allotted for publication of the final report and dissemination to the sponsor and interested parties. This is a special notice prepared in accordance with the format in Federal Acquisition Regulation (FAR) 6.302-1(a)(2)(iii), Only one responsible source and no other supplies or services will satisfy agency requirements. However, any firm that believes it can meet this requirement may give written notification to the Contracting Officer within 10 days from the date of publication of this announcement. Supporting evidence must be in sufficient detail to demonstrate the ability to comply with the requirement. Responses received will be evaluated; however, a determination by the Government to compete the proposed procurement based on the responses to this notice is solely within the discretion of the Government. If no responses are received, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers will proceed with awarding a Firm Fixed Price contract to NAS for Study of Sea Level Rise in California, Oregon and Washington. These services will be provided to the US Army Corps of Engineers, Institute of Water Resources, Alexandria, VA. Point of Contact for this requirement is Nancy Hilleary at Nancy.L.Hilleary@usace.army.mil, 7701 Telegraph Road, Alexandria, VA 22315.
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