SOLICITATION NOTICE
B -- ENGINEERING ANALYSES
- Notice Date
- 4/7/2006
- Notice Type
- Solicitation Notice
- Contracting Office
- US Army Humphreys Engineer Center Support Activity, ATTN: CEHEC-CT, 7701 Telegraph Road, Alexandria, VA 22315-3860
- ZIP Code
- 22315-3860
- Solicitation Number
- W912HQ-06-T-0015
- Response Due
- 4/21/2006
- Archive Date
- 6/20/2006
- Small Business Set-Aside
- N/A
- Description
- The US Army Corps of Engineer, Humphreys Engineers Center is in need of a contractor to perform PACT ANALYSES in support of Hurricane Katrina per statement of work. This is a combined synopsis/solicitation for commercial items prepared in accordance with the format in Subpart 12.6, as supplemented with additional information included in this notice. This announcement constitutes the only solicitation; proposals are being requested and a written solicitation will not be issued. The following FAR and DFAR clauses are applicable: 52-212-1, 52.212-4, 52.212-5, 52,222-26, 52.222-35, 252.225-7000. STATEMENT OF WORK Purchase\Acquisition of the REMI (Regional Economic Models, Inc.) System for Evaluation of Economic Impacts Attributable to Hurricane Katrina Consequence Analysis (IPET Task IX); Economic Impacts (Sub-Task I) Scope of Requirement(s) ________________________________________________________________________ Introduction: The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) is a primary participant in the Interagency Performance Evaluation Task Force (IPET) charged with review and evaluation of the impacts of Hurricane Katrina. Hurricane Katrina struck the U.S. Gulf Coast in the south ern Louisiana-Mississippi region in late August 2005 and resulted in unprecedented impact(s) on the greater New Orleans area and southern coastal Alabama. Storm conditions resulted in high winds and widespread storm surge flooding and inundation of catast rophic proportion to the affected area. These storm effects in turn resulted in considerable property damage and long-term displacement of a significant portion of the populace and workforce, and disruption of various business activities and governmental functions. Under IPET, Ten (10) separable tasks have been identified. Tasks I through VIII are primarily engineering-oriented (storm condition and inundation simulation modeling, physical testing of floodwall structures or components, geotechnical investigations, et c.). Tasks IX and X involve consequence and risk analysis respectively. Task IX involves four (4) sub-tasks structured to address economic, health and safety, social\cultural, and environmental consequences. The sub-task for economic consequence analysi s has\is being structured to address direct economic impact or consequences in addition to indirect and induced impacts at localized, regional, and national level (to the extent practical subject to limitations of schedules, resources, and available data). A preliminary review of economic impact modeling systems has been performed and it has been learned that due to the significant nature of impact to the Gulf Coast regional economy, virtually no economic impact model is fully applicable in its standard or off the shelf form. This is largely attributable to the typical underlying assumption(s) or formulation of available impact models based on continuing or on-going function of a regional economy much as it has been measured or evaluated in recent history (and in the circumstance of the New Orleans area, before the storm). Available information indicates that the changes that have occurred in terms of disruption, displacement, and forced realignment of community and business sector activities is considered so dramatic or significant most available models simply do not apply, can not be acceptably (or cost-effectively) adapted, and therefore can not be employed to generate reasonable measure(s) of changes to regional economic relationships. In regard to lim itations and capabilities of available impact models, corresponding research and inquiry has revealed that a select few models are applicable with some level of adjustment or adaptation to circumstances related to Katrina. These include potentially IMPLAN , the Multi-Regional Variable Input-Output (MRVIO) modeling system developed proprietarily by and for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), and the multi-regional impact model system available from Regional Economic Models, Inc. commonly known as REMI. While the preference would be to apply at least two models to studies for analysis and iterative verification, the limitations of current schedules established as mission essential for IPET will not accommodate the need for the minimum time resources required to adapt either IMPLAN or MRVIO. Alternatively, the REMI model system already accommodates some or many of the features for adaptability to significant changes or impact within a regional e conomy. Requirements for Economic Impact Studies Background The following information is provided to representatives of REMI for information concerning requirements for IPET related to impact analysis and the use of REMI, and for review concerning capabilities, and actions or recommendations for calibrating the mod el if required. As stated previously, the occurrence of Hurricane Katrina in August of 2005 resulted in unprecedented impacts on the greater New Orleans area and southern Alabama region with severe damages from high winds and widespread storm surge flooding and inundation . These storm effects in turn resulted in considerable property damage and long-term displacement of a significant portion of the populace and workforce, and disruption of various business activities and governmental functions. Of particular concern regarding the occurrence of flooding and inundation is whether levee and floodwall systems performed in accordance with engineering design specifications relative to prevailing storm conditions. During the course of, or immediately s ubsequent to storm conditions limited segments of the levee\floodwall system were physically compromised and breached making flood conditions more severe than would otherwise have occurred had they remained intact. Tentatively, available information indic ates that some areas or segments of the existing levee\floodwall system may have failed under conditions for storm surge levels or elevations less than specified for design. Following Hurricane Katrina, the Federal government has committed the U.S. Army C orps of Engineers (USACE) to fulfill two objectives or requirements: a.) Repair or reconstruction of compromised segments of the levee\floodwall system with overall restoration of flood damage protection to that considered to be in place (and as intended by design) prior to the onslaught of storm conditions (this effort is publicly known as Task Force Guardian [TFG]), and b.) Evaluation of conditions that occurred during and after the storm (from the context of engineering and economics as appropriate) with further evaluation of risk and related consequence(s)s for future occurrence of storms (this effort is publicly known as the Interagency Performance Evaluation Task Force [IPET]). Item a, repair of the levee\floodwall system, is being undertaken within a general authority or directive identified as Task Force Guardian (TFG) which is scheduled for completion by 1 June 2006; the date for beginning of the next hurricane season after th e advent of Hurricane Katrina. Item b, to be undertaken through authority of the Interagency Performance Evaluation Task Force (IPET), involves evaluation of conditions during and after the storm and evaluation of risk and consequence(s) associated with f uture storm events. IPET has been scheduled for completion of draft or initial efforts and forwarding of associated findings by 1 June 2006 in concert with schedules for TFG. The sub-task for economic consequence analysis has\is being structured to address direct economic impact or consequences in addition to indirect and induced impacts at localized and regional or national levels (to the extent practical subject to limitation s of schedules, resources, and available data). Two basic scenarios for the occurrence of Katrina have been specified; I.) economic consequences for Katrina as it transpired (i.e., with levee\floodwall physical compro mise to the extent determined applicable) and II.) consequences associated with the occurrence of Hurricane Katrina as it happened but assuming performance of levee\floodwall features or measures as intended or designed. A primary objective of IPET includes the ability to undertake alternative scenario analysis or assessment of risk under varying future conditions determined via Task X. Within the framework of specifications for analysis as generally described, the require ment and solicitation for modeling software herein is for the sub-task addressing economic impacts of Katrina with an emphasis for estimation and review of direct, indirect and induced or tertiary impacts at the local, regional, and national levels of infl uence to the extent that they are or can be quantified within the timeframes or schedules of IPET efforts. Currently, local level or region of influence is defined as the central greater New Orleans area consisting of the following parishes: I, Orleans Parish II. St. Bernard Parish III. Jefferson Parish IV. Plaquemines Parish V. St. Charles Parish The regional level of influence will include parishes or counties comprising a hybrid of what historically has been defined as the New Orleans BEA (Bureau of Economic Analysis) Area consisting of the preceding local parishes in addition to adjacent or outl ying parishes comprising the remainder of the BEA area plus relevant counties or parishes in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama impacted either directly or indirectly by coastal surge flooding and inundation. The third geographic level of measurement for economic impact evaluation will be a multi-state area consisting of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas and the last or highest level will be for the nation as a whole. Summarized, the regions for REMI model compilation are provided as follows: a.) Region I. - Five (5) Parishes Orleans, Plaquemines, St. Bernard, St. Charles, and Jefferson (as one area) b.) Region(s) IIa., IIb., and IIc. - Remainder of New Orleans BEA Area (excluding Region I as described, preceding) or the area designated as subject to significant impact by the Louisiana State Hurricane Recovery Commission (totaling approximately 13 p arishes including Region I, preceding) plus two separate regions each consisting of approximately 5-12 coastal counties in two of the three following states: Mississippi, Alabama, and Texas (with areas and\or counties or parishes to be determined and fina lized by the designated technical point of contact (POC) for USACE-IWR [listed later in the SOW] at the time of purchase or within two business days after award). c.) Region III. - The rest of the State of Louisiana (excluding Regions I and II.as described; as one area) d.) Region IV. - Multi-state area of Texas, Mississippi, Alabama (excluding I, II, and III as described; as one area) e.) Region V. - Rest of the United States (excluding regions I, II, III, and IV as described; as one area). General Requirements for Studies; Additional Detail The scope of studies for review of subject economic studies for Hurricane Katrina will involve economic impact analyses developed for evaluation of impacts at the local, regional and national levels to the extent such impacts are considered significant and warrant investigation and measurement or estimation subject to available resources and information. Direct impacts for the purposes of review will emphasize measurement for damages to structures or capital assets of both businesses and households includi ng the associated costs of disruption, loss and displacement of business activities and the supporting workforce. Estimation of damages and impacts will be conducted to the extent possible according to five (5) general categories: I. Private\Household Sector (Residential Property & Households) II. Private\Corporate Commercial-Industrial Sector (Business) III. Public\Governmental Secto r (Federal, State, and Local) IV. Private-Public Community or Public Services & Activities V. Utilities & Infrastructure Within the context of estimation or measurement of economic value or costs, priority for efforts will be to address the measurement or estimation of economic impacts on the basis of primary or direct effects with estimations of impact to be further or comp arably measured in context of both National Economic Development (NED) and localized regional economic or developmental (RED) impacts. A listing of some of the measurements or impacts tentatively considered applicable for evaluation across described secto rs and categories of physical assets and activities for which storm-induced damages and economic costs may or will be assessed include (subject to availability of data or information): Private\Household Sector - Privately-Owned Capital Asset Damages - Residential Structure Damages - Other Real Property Damages - Vehicle and Capital Equipment Damages - Residential Content Damages - Lost Wages, Income, Employment Private-Public Community Sector - Damages to Schools and Educational Services - Damages to Hospitals and Healthcare Support Services - Damages to Churches and Charities or Other Non-Profit Entities - Damages or Impacts to Other Community Services Private\Commercial Sector(s) - Commercial Structure Damages - Commercial Capital Asset\Equipment Damages - Losses to Commercial Revenue Generation (business, tourism, etc.) - Costs for Disruption\Support of Workforce - Costs for Repair\Recovery\Restoration of Operations Private\Commercial Industrial Sector (s) (Productive Base) - Industrial Structure damages - Industrial Capital Asset\Equipment Damages - Losses to Industrial Revenue Generation - Costs for Disruption\Support of Workforce - Costs for Repair\Recovery\Restoration of Operations Public\Governmental Sector; Federal, State and Local Governments - Damages to Public Buildings and Facilities - Damages to Public Capital Equipment and Related Assets - Costs for Disruption and Restoration of Public Services - Administrative - Transportation - Social\Community - Health and Sanitation Services - Lost Regional\Localized Tax Revenues - Damages to and Restoration of Utilities - Electrical - Water Distribution and Sewage Treatment - Communications (Including Private\Commercial) - Damages and Required Repair to Transportation Infrastructure (Roads\Highways and Rail; Other?) - Costs for disaster relief and aid to victims - Damages and\or Costs of Repair for Restoration of Civil - Engineering Storm Damage or Flood Control as in Place at the Time of Katrinas Impact Environmental and Natural Resource(s) - Costs of Environmental Surveys for Assessment of Damages - Costs for Recovery or Remediation Where Applicable - Costs of Debris Removal and Disposal\Containment - Short to Interim Evaluation of Environmental Resources with Commercial Impact (Fishing, Suitability of Farmlands, etc.) Consequence of Introduction or Spread of non-Native Organisms Caused by inundation Summary of Critical Analytical End-Products Subject to Review Listed; in order of priority: For Conditions defined as: a.) - breach and related physical compromise of the levee\floodwall system as it actually occurred due to effects of Hurricane Katrina. b.) - absence of structural failure or compromise of flood control or storm damage features subject to allowing for prevailing storm conditions that exceed(ed) physical project specifications where and to what extent they may have occurred). The following: - Quantification to the maximum extent practical the total and net regional economic impact of Hurricane Katrina (for regions or level of geographic coverage as previously described, localized up through national levels); Integral and subj ect to defined conditions will be review of the (compilation of) statistics describing local and regional economic activity and demographic or household disposition before the storm that is essential to evaluation of pre-storm versus post-storm conditions or storm impacts. Also to be reviewed under IPET will be an estimation of business activity and population that will be considered to be at risk as of the beginning of the pending hurricane season (i.e., June 1st 2006). Of particular note for review requirements will be the evaluation of economic studies or analyses prepared within a limited timeframe following the occurrence of Katrina. Past experience with disaster impact and assessment has revealed while limited infor mation may be available within a matter of days, it often requires as long as twelve (12) to fifteen (15) months or more for much of the data of concern to be consistently reported, consolidated, reviewed and corrected (where appropriate). The timeframes mandated by the Federal Government for IPET will not allow such schedules and therefore incorporated into the understanding and thought process for review shall be evaluation of impact measurements as they can be reasonably or acceptably measured given lim itations of time and availability of data resources. The execution of IPET involves multiple governmental agencies and analysts employed via contractual services, both in the capacity of performance of technical work and technical review. For the purposes of using the REMI system, a total of three (3) site licenses and installations (with associated technical support) will be required. One license is to be provided directly to Mr. Ian Mathis of the Institute for Water Resources of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE-IWR). Another license is to be provi ded directly to Mr. Dennis Robinson of the University of Missouri, and a third license is to be provided directly to Mr. Pat Canning of the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Telephone and email contact information for forwarding of model software and materials is provided for the three designated technical points of contact (POCs) below: Ian Mathis (designated POC for USACE-IWR) Telephone: (703-428-7257) Telefacsimile: (703-428-6686) Email: ian.a.mathis@USACE.Army.mil Physical Address: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) Institute for Water Resources (USACE-IWR) 7701 Telegraph Road Alexandria, Virginia 22315 Casey Building Dennis Robinson, Ph.D. Telephone: (573-882-2106 or 573-884-9009) Telefacsimile: (573-882-2504) Email: robinsonden@missouri.edu Physical Address: University of Missouri-Columbia Community Policy Analysis Center 215 Middlebush Columbia, Missouri 65211 Pat Canning, Ph.D. Telephone: (202-694-5341) Telefacsimile: (202-694-5662 Email: pcanning@ers.usda.gov Physical Address: United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Food Economics Division ERS-USDA Room 2135 1800 M Street NW Washington, D.C. 20036-5831 General Schedule(s) for IPET Studies Provided for General Information Purposes - Various products or output from impact evaluation efforts will be submitted either in draft or final form beginning early April through beginning to mid-May 2006. Such produ cts may or will include computerized documents describing technique(s) and procedure(s) applied to studies as well as documentation of evaluations or findings from analysis. Review may also include verification of data sources and review of computerized p roducts from economic modeling or data tabulation systems. Consolidation of findings for all IPET tasks (engineering, economic, etc.) must be complete for public release by June 1st 2006. Consequently, it is anticipated review of study process and produc ts will begin approximately late-March to early April of 2006 and that 70 to 90 percent of external on-going review (EOTR) requirements will need to be complet e by mid to latter May 2006 with remaining, closing, or final response to review and comments completed by early to mid-June 2006 Deliverables from REMI, Inc.: Compilation and provision of the REMI model system within an expedited timeframe is essential to compliance with established schedules for IPET. The following timeframes for provision of deliverables are proposed based on available information concerning needs and schedules for IPET. Three (3) fully-functional site license installations (including requisite printed documentation and software for computerized set-up and installation is to be forwarded within six (6) business days inclusive of the business day that the notice to proceed (NTP) is given by the Government contracting officer or contracting officers authorized representative (COR). Materials are to be mailed or forwarded via expedited next-day mail to the technical points of contact identified above. The time period for li censure and use will extend 183 calendar days from the day a given license is installed and determined to be operating properly or as intended. Actual physical installation of each license and system will be performed by the designated technical points of contact as noted above or respective support personnel. Each user version, license, and\or installation of the REMI system provided shall be fully capable or operational once installed and include standard base allowances for requisite technical support. Requisite technical support allowances shall include tec hnical support for proper installation and operation of the model in accordance with the companys standard client practices. Each version\license\installation will be identical in technical specifications and capabilities, and shall be of the most curren t version, edition, or release available at the time of purchase. The provided modeling system(s) for each license will be calibrated to the maximum extent possible for currency of base input data (i.e, population, earnings or revenues by industrial or bu siness sector, etc.) as maintained or in the possession REMI, Inc. at the time of the NTP. Accordingly, each provided license or installation will provide for the application or functionality of all features or modes of operation possible by the REMI syst em subject to limitation only by the regions or regional delineations and sector level of detail as specified for acquisition. The purchase agreement shall include the ability (and will clearly define related costs) for the option to later upgrade the lic ensure agreement for the regions specified to perpetual ownership and\or increase in the sector level of detail (i.e., from 70 to 169 sectors) for the version in force at the time of acquisition. Accordingly, it shall be further understood that: The Defined period(s) of performance: a.) Forwarding of licensure, software system(s), and requisite documentation no later than six (6) business days from the notice to proceed (NTP) with physical receipt no later than eight (8) business days from the NTP. b.) Licensed availability and functioning for all licenses or installations of the REMI system (and requisite technical support) for the regions as defined for a period of 183 calendar days from initial proper and fully-functioning installation. Given the description of requirements, the total period of performance for technical work and model support of IPET is estimated at approximately 195 to 200 days from the notice to proceed (NTP) with allowances for forwarding, time for installation, and a six-month period of operation. POC: Ruth.Sawyers@HQ02.USACE.ARMY.MIL
- Place of Performance
- Address: US Army Humphreys Engineer Center Support Activity ATTN: CEHEC-CT, 7701 Telegraph Road Alexandria VA
- Zip Code: 22315-3860
- Country: US
- Zip Code: 22315-3860
- Record
- SN01023621-W 20060409/060407221128 (fbodaily.com)
- Source
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